{"id":18297,"date":"2019-03-03T21:01:36","date_gmt":"2019-03-03T13:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/?p=18297"},"modified":"2019-03-03T21:01:38","modified_gmt":"2019-03-03T13:01:38","slug":"%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e7%94%a8%e3%80%8c%e8%af%b4%e6%9c%8d%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b%e3%80%8d%e9%99%8d%e4%bd%8e%e7%94%a8%e6%88%b7%e6%b5%81%e5%a4%b1%e7%8e%87%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/quan\/18297.html","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u7528\u300c\u8bf4\u670d\u6a21\u578b\u300d\u964d\u4f4e\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\u7387\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>     <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\uff08predictive models\uff09\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u7528\u6765\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5728\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u2014\u2014\u6bd4\u5982\u660e\u5929\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e0b\u96e8\uff1f\u54ea\u4e9b\u7528\u6237\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u9000\u8ba2\u670d\u52a1\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5929\u6c14\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u6539\u53d8\u5b83\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u9002\u5e94\u5b83\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u5546\u4e1a\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u662f\u60f3\u8981\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u540e\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6539\u53d8\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6240\u4ee5\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u7684\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u300c\u9884\u6d4b\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u300c\u836f\u65b9\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u4e86\u91c7\u53d6\u67d0\u4e2a\u884c\u52a8\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u600e\u6837\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u8d44\u6e90\u96c6\u4e2d\u5230\u6548\u679c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u5728\u6548\u679c\u5fae\u4e4e\u5176\u5fae\u6216\u8005\u662f\u5bb9\u6613\u4ea7\u751f\u53cd\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u6d6a\u8d39\u8d44\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5148\u770b\u770b\u5b83\u548c\u4f20\u7edf\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u4e4b\u95f4\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u533a\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b vs \u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u6216\u8bb8\u80fd\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff1a\u7535\u4fe1\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u54ea\u4e9b\u7528\u6237\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u6d41\u5931\u3001\u533b\u9662\u7684\u54ea\u4e2a\u75c5\u4eba\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u5eb7\u590d\u3001\u6148\u5584\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e2d\u7684\u54ea\u4e9b\u4eba\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6350\u8d60\u3002\u4f46\u5b83\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u8be5\u5982\u4f55\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u6709\u4e9b\u573a\u5408\u5df2\u7ecf\u591f\u7528\u4e86\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5929\u6c14\u9884\u62a5\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u6539\u53d8\u5929\u6c14\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u80fd\u9009\u62e9\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f46\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u4f5c\u51fa\u6539\u53d8\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5f53\u7136\u60f3\u5f71\u54cd\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u7535\u4fe1\u516c\u53f8\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u5982\u4f55\u7559\u4f4f\u90a3\u4e9b\u60f3\u9000\u8ba2\u7684\u7528\u6237\uff0c\u7ed9\u4ed6\u4eec\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u5957\u9910\u80fd\u964d\u4f4e<span class=\"wpcom_tag_link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/tag\/%e7%94%a8%e6%88%b7%e6%b5%81%e5%a4%b1\" title=\"\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\" target=\"_blank\">\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931<\/a><\/span>\u5417\uff1f\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4f1a\u601d\u8003\u642c\u5bb6\u8d39\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u8ba9\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u63a5\u53d7offer\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u6700\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u5728\u8425\u9500\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b83\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u9884\u6d4b\u5ba2\u6237\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u63d0\u9ad8\u5ba2\u6237\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6a21\u578b\u4f1a\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\uff0c\u4e0e\u5176\u82b1\u94b1\u53bb\u8bd5\u56fe\u5f71\u54cd\u90a3\u4e9b\u5df2\u7ecf\u652f\u6301\u4f60\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u5982\u53bb\u5f71\u54cd\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u652f\u6301\u4f60\uff0c\u4f46\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u5e7f\u544a\u8bf4\u670d\u7684\u4eba\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>\u589e\u91cf\u589e\u7684\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u589e\u7684\u5230\u5e95\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u5462\uff1f\u5c31\u662f\u8d2d\u4e70\u884c\u4e3a\u5728\u6709\u5e7f\u544a\u65f6\u6bd4\u6ca1\u6709\u5e7f\u544a\u65f6\u4e0a\u5347\u4e86\u591a\u5c11\uff08\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u8d2d\u4e70\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4efb\u4f55\u6211\u4eec\u5e0c\u671b\u7528\u6237\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff1b\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u5e7f\u544a\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u4efb\u4f55\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5904\u7406\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u80fd\u76f4\u63a5\u89c2\u5bdf\u6216\u6d4b\u91cf\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u80fd\u5728\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u63a8\u8bba\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u4ecb\u7ecd\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u524d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5148\u770b\u4e00\u4e2a2&#215;2\u7684\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u77e9\u9635\u628a\u4f60\u6240\u6709\u7684\u7528\u6237\u5206\u6210\u4e864\u4e2a\u7c7b\u578b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>a. \u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u5e7f\u544a\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4eba Persuadable<br>b. \u5fe0\u5b9e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005 Sure Thing<br>c. \u8bf7\u52ff\u6253\u6270\u8005 Do-Not-Disturb<br>d. \u6ca1\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u62c9\u62e2\u7684\u4eba Lost Cause<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"481\" src=\"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/NY.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18298\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u56db\u79cd\u4eba\u4e2d\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u5e94\u8be5\u5173\u5fc3\u7684\u662fa\u7c7b\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u5e7f\u544a\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4eba\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8eb\u7c7b\u548cd\u7c7b\u4eba\uff0c\u5e7f\u544a\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u6d6a\u8d39\u7684\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8ec\u7c7b\u300c\u8bf7\u52ff\u6253\u6270\u8005\u300d\uff0c\u5e7f\u544a\u7684\u6548\u679c\u662f\u9002\u5f97\u5176\u53cd\u7684\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u672c\u6765\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4e70\u4f60\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u4f46\u5e7f\u544a\u53cd\u800c\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u62b5\u89e6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u4e5f\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u300csleeping dog\u300d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6253\u6270\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c31\u50cf\u5524\u9192\u6c89\u7761\u7684\u72d7\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u66f4\u5e0c\u671b\u300c\u5c31\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u53bb\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5c31\u662f\u627e\u5230\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u5e7f\u544a\u5f71\u54cd\u7684a\u7c7b\u4eba\u3002\u7136\u540e\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u8fdb\u884c\u5e7f\u544a\u6295\u653e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>\u4f30\u8ba1\u589e\u91cf<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u8bf4\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5047\u8bbe\u6709\u4e00\u5bb6\u7535\u4fe1\u516c\u53f8\u60f3\u8981\u51cf\u5c11\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u5c31\u662f\u7ed9\u90a3\u4e9b\u53ef\u80fd\u6d41\u5931\u7684\u7528\u6237\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7535\u4fe1\u5957\u9910\u3002\u90a3\u600e\u4e48\u6837\u627e\u5230\u300c\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f18\u60e0\u653f\u7b56\u8bf4\u670d\u7684\u7528\u6237\u300d\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5b9e\u65bd\u8fd9\u5957\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u628a\u4ed6\u4eec\u7559\u4f4f\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u7ed9\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u63d0\u4f9b\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4ece\u7535\u4fe1\u516c\u53f8\u51e0\u5343\u4e07\u4e2a\u8d26\u6237\u4e2d\u62bd\u53d62000\u4e2a\u8d26\u6237\u7528\u6765\u505a\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u968f\u673a\u9009\u62e9400\u4e2a\u7535\u4fe1\u8d26\u6237\u8bbe\u4e3a\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7ec4\uff08test group\uff09\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7ed9\u4ed6\u4eec\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u5957\u9910\uff08\u6240\u4ee5\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u5957\u9910\u5c31\u662f\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5904\u7406\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u53e6\u5916\u518d\u90091600\u4e2a\u8d26\u6237\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ed9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5347\u7ea7\u5957\u9910\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c31\u662f\u63a7\u5236\u7ec4\uff08control group\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7136\u540e\u6211\u4eec\u6bd4\u8f83\u8fd9\u4e24\u7ec4\u8d26\u6237\u5728\u6d41\u5931\u7387\u4e0a\u7684\u5dee\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"316\" height=\"522\" src=\"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-content\/uploads\/392.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-18299\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ec4\u7684400\u4e2a\u8d26\u6237\u4e2d\u67098\u4e2a\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\u4e86\uff0c\u6d41\u5931\u73872%\u3002\u63a7\u5236\u7ec4\u76841600\u4e2a\u8d26\u6237\u4e2d\u6709160\u4eba\u6d41\u5931\u4e86\uff0c\u6d41\u5931\u7387\u662f10%\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ec4\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u7ec4\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6709-8%\u7684\u589e\u91cf\uff08\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u4e2d\uff0c\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\u662f\u4e0d\u597d\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8d1f\u503c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u300c\u7559\u5b58\u300d\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>\u603b\u4f53\u589e\u91cf U = \u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ec4\u7ed3\u679cRT \u2013 \u63a7\u5236\u7ec4\u7ed3\u679cRC = 2% \u2013 10% = -8%<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5343\u4e07\u4e0d\u8981\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u6b65\u5c31\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u3002\u597d\u620f\u8fd8\u5728\u540e\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b9e\u9a8c\u505a\u5b8c\u540e\uff0c\u5c31\u5230\u4e86\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u73af\u8282\u2014\u2014\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u6bcf\u4e2a\u7528\u6237\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5904\u7406\u6548\u5e94\uff08treatment efffect\uff09\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7ec4\u7684\u6d41\u5931\u7387\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u6bd4\u63a7\u5236\u7ec4\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u662f\u603b\u4f53\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u7684\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8bd5\u9a8c\u7ec4\u91cc\u7684\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u559c\u6b22\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\u5e76\u88ab\u5b83\u8bf4\u670d\u4e86\uff0c\u4f46\u53e6\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u5bf9\u5b83\u65e0\u52a8\u4e8e\u8877\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8fd8\u6709\u4eba\u53cd\u800c\u88ab\u5b83\u6fc0\u6012\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u7528\u6237\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u53d8\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u6bd4\u5982\u6027\u522b\u3001\u5e74\u9f84\u3001\u6536\u5165\u3001\u7f51\u8d2d\u8bb0\u5f55\u7b49\u7b49\u2014\u2014\u6765\u5206\u522b\u9884\u6d4b\u5728\u6709\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\u548c\u6ca1\u6709\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\u7684\u4e24\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u7684\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6a21\u578b\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u6b65\u9aa4\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u5728\u6709\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5904\u7406\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff08\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u4e2a\u4eba\u7279\u6027\u53d8\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\u7387<\/li><li>\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5904\u7406\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff08\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u4e2a\u4eba\u7279\u6027\u53d8\u91cf\u9884\u6d4b\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\u7387<\/li><li>\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e24\u7ec4\u6d41\u5931\u7387\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\uff08Ui=RTi-RCi\uff09<\/li><li>\u8ba1\u7b97\u5dee\u8ddd\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f53\u6709\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6570\u503c\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u6240\u6709\u7528\u6237\u4ed6\u4eec\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u5e26\u5165\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba1\u7b97\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4e2a\u4f53\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u6240\u6709\u4e2a\u4f53\u5f52\u7c7b\u8fdb\u77e9\u9635\u91cc\u7684\u56db\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u5982\u679c\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u5305\u62ec\u96f6\u503c\uff0c\u5219\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u63aa\u65bd\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\u5c31\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u663e\u8457\u529f\u6548\u7684\u3002\u90a3\u4ed6\u5c31\u8981\u4e48\u662f\u5fe0\u5b9e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005Sure Thing\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u62c9\u62e2\u7684\u4ebaLost Cause\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4f60\u4e0d\u7528\u6d6a\u8d39\u7cbe\u529b\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u8eab\u4e0a\u3002<\/li><li> \u5982\u679c\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u5927\u4e8e\u96f6\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u8bf4\u660e\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\u5bf9\u4ed6\u662f\u6709\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u5f53\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u6b63\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u8bf4\u670d\u7684\u4eba\u300d\u3002<\/li><li> \u5f53\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u5c0f\u4e8e\u96f6\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u8bf4\u660e\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5904\u7406\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u671f\u671b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u5bf9\u4ed6\u662f\u6709\u53cd\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u8bf7\u52ff\u6253\u6270\u8005\u300d\u3002<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u79cd\u529e\u6cd5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u6240\u6709\u7528\u6237\u5206\u6210\u8fd9\u56db\u7c7b\u4eba\u5566\uff01\u7136\u540e\u53ea\u8981\u7ed9\u300c\u53ef\u88ab\u8bf4\u670d\u7684\u4eba\u300d\u53d1\u5e7f\u544a\u300c\u514d\u8d39\u5347\u7ea7\u300d\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5957\u9910\u5c31\u884c\u5566\uff01<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:center\"><strong>\u83b7\u5f97\u8425\u9500\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5728\u5546\u4e1a\u4e2d\u7406\u89e3\u4e00\u4e2a\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u3002\u589e\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u8ba9\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f30\u7b97\u4e00\u4e2a\u5904\u7406\u7684\u56de\u62a5\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u52a0\u603b\u5904\u7406\u5bf9\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u300c\u53ef\u88ab\u8bf4\u670d\u7684\u4eba\u300d\u7684\u589e\u91cf\uff08incremental uplift\uff09\u5c31\u884c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u5904\u7406\u6548\u679c\uff08treatment effect\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:right\">Mike Thurber@Marteker\u6280\u672f\u8425\u9500\u5b98(marteker)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u9996\u5e2d\u589e\u957f\u5b98<\/strong><strong>CGO<\/strong><strong>\u8350\u8bfb\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u300a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/product\/13033.html\">\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5957\u8def\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u5b9a\u4e49\u7528\u6237\u6d41\u5931\uff1f<\/a> \u300b<\/li><li>\u300a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/quan\/17145.html\">\u767e\u5ea6\u7edf\u8ba1\uff1a\u6211\u7684\u5fc3\u91cc\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u7528\u6237\u589e\u957f<\/a> \u300b<\/li><li>\u300a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/cgo\/18294.html\">\u9996\u5e2d\u589e\u957f\u5b98\uff1a\u9646\u71ce\u539f\u5982\u4f55\u6253\u9020\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5e73\u53f0<\/a> \u00a0\u300b<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u66f4\u591a\u7cbe\u5f69\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8\uff1a<span class=\"wpcom_keyword_link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"\u589e\u957f\u9ed1\u5ba2\">\u589e\u957f\u9ed1\u5ba2<\/a><\/span>\uff08GrowthHK.cn\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u589e\u957f\u9ed1\u5ba2\uff08Growth Hacker\uff09\u662f\u4f9d\u9760\u6280\u672f\u548c\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8fbe\u6210\u5404\u79cd\u8425\u9500\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u65b0\u578b\u56e2\u961f\u89d2\u8272\u3002\u4ece\u5355\u7ebf\u601d\u7ef4\u8005\u65f6\u5e38\u5ffd\u7565\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u548c\u9ad8\u5ea6\uff0c\u68b3\u7406\u6574\u5408\u4ea7\u54c1\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u751a\u81f3\u96f6\u6210\u672c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6709\u6548\u589e\u957f\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\uff08predictive models\uff09\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u7528\u6765\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5728\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u2014\u2014\u6bd4\u5982\u660e\u5929\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e0b\u96e8\uff1f\u54ea\u4e9b\u7528\u6237\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u9000\u8ba2\u670d\u52a1\uff1f \u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5929\u6c14\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u6539\u53d8\u5b83\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u9002\u5e94\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":18300,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2036],"tags":[3407],"special":[],"class_list":["post-18297","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-quan","tag-3407","entry"],"views":101189,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18297","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/91"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18297"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18297\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18297"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18297"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18297"},{"taxonomy":"special","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.growthhk.cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/special?post=18297"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}